Pakistan’s National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) has issued a nationwide flood alert as the country braces for a fresh wave of heavy monsoon rains forecasted between August 5 and 10. The alert comes amid growing concerns over the possibility of medium- to high-level flooding in rivers and vulnerable regions.

Monsoon Rains to Hit Upper and Central Pakistan

According to the NDMA, upper and central parts of the country are expected to receive intense rainfall during this period. These rains may trigger flooding in major rivers, smaller streams, and low-lying urban and rural areas, posing risks to both infrastructure and communities.

Major Rivers Under Watch: Chenab, Jhelum, and Kabul

The NDMA has flagged specific areas where flooding is likely to occur:

• River Chenab: Medium to high flood levels are expected at Marala, Khanki, and Qadirabad.
• Jhelum River: Rising water levels are anticipated in the upper Mangla region.
• River Kabul: A surge is predicted near Nowshera, with similar threats in the Swat and Panjkora tributaries.

Northern Barrages and Gilgit-Baltistan at Risk

Low-level flooding may occur at several key barrage sites, including:

• Tarbela
• Kalabagh
• Chashma
• Taunsa
• Guddu

In Gilgit-Baltistan, increased river flows are projected in the Hunza and Shigar regions. Flash floods are also possible in smaller glacial streams such as Hispar, Khunjerab, Shimshal, Braldu, Hoshe, and Saltoro, where water levels can rise rapidly due to melting and rainfall.

Balochistan Faces Flood Threats

The NDMA has placed districts in Balochistan—particularly Musakhel, Sherani, Zhob, and Sibi—on high alert due to the likelihood of overflowing rivers following heavy downpours.

Dams Nearing Maximum Capacity

Tarbela Dam is reported to be 90% full, while Mangla Dam has reached 60% of its capacity. This limits the ability of these reservoirs to absorb additional rainfall, increasing the urgency for preemptive action.

Emergency Protocols in Place

The NDMA has directed all provincial disaster management authorities and relevant departments to stay on high alert, activate contingency plans, and ensure public awareness campaigns are underway. Authorities have also been urged to monitor weather updates, strengthen flood defenses, and ensure emergency response teams are ready.

As the monsoon intensifies, officials are calling for collective preparedness and swift coordination to minimize the impact on lives, property, and critical infrastructure.